What do (or don't) "55%", "119,949", and "$52" have in common? ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­    ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏  ͏ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­ ­  
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BCBrief
BC BRIEF HEADER (25)

Friend,

I've seen three numbers this fortnight that don’t sit comfortably together.

 

The first is 55%. That’s the share of mortgage offset accounts ASIC found that customers had opened and that were never linked to their loan. We’re talking eight banks, circa 70% of a $2.5 trillion home loan market, and $55 million+ repaid to more than 250,000 people. ASIC Chair Sarah Court called it "a systemic issue that is widespread across the sector". (ASIC, REP 837)

 

The second is 119,949. That’s the preliminary complaint count for 2025/26 published yesterday by AFCA (Australian Financial Complaints Authority). It’s a record, up 19%, and the third straight year above 100,000. Banking and finance rose 23%, super 42%, and investments and advice 56%, largely thanks to the Shield and First Guardian wreckage. (AFCA)

 

The third is $52. Way to go Jetstar, today in less than three hours you went from zero to 10,000+ searches on this. Why? Because you’re our budget carrier and now (as well as charging for water) you’re adding overhead locker storage fees to fares.

 

Nobody buys an offset account

 

They buy the feeling that their savings are quietly working against their mortgage while they sleep. More than half the time, in ASIC's sample, the thing was never plugged in.

 

I have repeatedly seen an issue like this be labelled a data integrity or system issue. It isn't. It's a promise invented and shipped by marketing, then quietly drowned by operations. The distance between those two floors kills reputations.

 

Complaints used to be noise. Now they're a map

 

Here's the bit your Board or C-suite might skate past but should slow down to read. ASIC named claims and complaint handling failures as a 2026 enforcement priority in November 2025. AFCA has now published, category by category, precisely where those failures sit.

 

Read the two side by side and you have a regulator hit list, in public, with your name or brand on it.

 

Risk lives in the gap between what people expected and what they got

 

The E in the F.E.L.T. card I shared at comms webinar this week is for “expectations”.

 

In answering a hard media inquiry or facing a crisis most of us leap from "what happened?" to "what can we say?", which is reliably the fastest way to make things worse.

 

The better question is “what did people think they were getting?”. What was their actual experience and how do they feel about that?

 

By the time it's a Senate hearing, the gap has been there for years.

Best,

Carden | she/her (here’s why that matters @work)

 

PS I've turned F.E.L.T. ( Facts, Expectations, Leadership, Time) into a one-page card for the first three hours of a tricky response. That’s for when facts are mushy and someone senior is about to say something confident and wrong. Reply and I'll send it.

 

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On our radar:

The other big stories this week

 

Qantas eyes major outsourcing move with Accenture-backed AI deal

Qantas is considering outsourcing up to 1,000 back-office roles to India through an Accenture-backed AI transformation program. The proposal, named Project iQ, would affect functions including marketing, finance and HR as the airline looks to reduce costs and modernise operations. This follows Telstra’s 2025 deal with Accenture, in which it axed thousands of jobs for access to more specialised AI resources.

 

Housing market downturn spreads across country as property price decline deepens

Australia’s housing slowdown is broadening, with Brisbane and Adelaide joining Sydney and Melbourne in recording falling property values. Nationally, prices fell 0.7 per cent in July, the largest monthly value decline since 2022. Rising interest rates, policy changes and increased housing supply are weighing on demand, although low unemployment and constrained construction activity may help limit the depth of the downturn.

 

Chalmers urged to fix widow tax as ‘devastated’ casualty seeks help

Pressure is mounting on the government to fix the so-called “widow tax” after a domestic violence survivor reportedly lost access to refinancing because of changes to negative gearing rules. Critics say the legislation is creating unintended consequences for Australians dealing with divorce, death and property settlements, and would disproportionately target women.

 

 

Get to know your journo

Rebecca Pike, Australian Financial Review

Rebecca Pike recently joined the Australian Financial Review as a wealth reporter, focusing on banking, wealth, and personal finance. Previously with Finder, Mortgage Professional Australia, and Australian Broker, her new role at the AFR has seen her covering the 2026 Federal Budget and how investment strategies have adapted as a result.

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Mark your diary

Upcoming events you don't want to miss

      • 10 August: Westpac third-quarter update
      • 11 August: RBA cash rate decision; all four majors now expect a hold at 4.35%
      • 12 August: CBA full-year results and final dividend
      • 13 August: ANZ 3Q26 update and APS 330
      • 13 August: Australian Wealth Management Summit and Awards - Sydney
      • 17 August: NAB update (the bank ASIC left out of the offset review)
      • 17 September: AIMA Australia Annual Forum - Sydney
      • 29 October: CFA Society Australia Investment Conference - Melbourne

      This week's market movers

      Big plays, bold bets, and (occasional) unconfirmed speculation

       

      Canva’s AI bill shock causes rare revenue downgrade – Canva cut its revenue growth forecast after high AI computing costs and product delays slowed the rollout of new features. The company says it has significantly reduced costs and is increasingly relying on its own AI models.
       

      Exxon and Chevron’s bumper profits fuel energy ambitions here and abroad – ExxonMobil and Chevron are flush with cash after record earnings, sparking speculation about fresh acquisitions. Woodside is seen as a potential target as major energy players look to expand their LNG exposure.

       

      Top-end property prices hit hardest as housing slump deepens – Australia’s housing downturn is deepening, with Sydney leading price falls and premium properties hardest hit. Analysts expect weak sentiment and higher interest rates to keep pressure on the market in coming months.

       

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